Report: The Situation in the North Kordofan Axis and Around the City of El-Obeid
1. Introduction
2. Analysis of Recent Military Movements
Military reading:
Securing these axes cuts off the adversary’s supply routes.
However, it also provides the RSF with greater maneuvering capacity to bypass and threaten other strategic axes.
3. The Strategic Importance of El-Obeid
Impact of surrounding areas:
Movements around Um Siyala and Jabra Al-Sheikh directly influence the internal situation of the city.
Control of the main roads affects:
The city’s internal supply lines.
The advanced defensive lines toward Omdurman.
Thus, the battle for El-Obeid goes beyond the local level: it is a struggle for the keys of connection between the west and Khartoum.
4. Escalation on the Ground and in Discourse
Despite international pressure to limit the expansion of the conflict, the RSF appears to be using recent developments as a pretext to broaden their operations.
5. Conclusion and Forecasts
Expected outcome: The coming days will be decisive. The side that succeeds in imposing control over the vital roads and passages will seize the initiative on the ground in this axis.
Analysis by: Mahamat Ali Kalyani, CEO of the Sahel African Observation Center &
The Charilogone Editorial Team
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