Libya: Egypt's Support for Khalifa Haftar, a Risky Gamble
By: Charilogone Editorial StaffThe situation in Libya continues to evolve as Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, backed by Egypt, seeks to strengthen his influence against the armed militias supporting the central government in Tripoli. However, this support could prove delicate in a geopolitical context where Egypt is moving closer to China, a dynamic that does not please the White House.
Strategic but Fragile Support
Egypt has long been a key ally of Haftar, providing military and diplomatic support in his struggle for control of Libya. However, this support could become a factor of fragility if the United States decides to reassess its position in the face of Beijing's growing influence in the Middle East and North Africa.
The Americans, Indispensable Allies
Whether we like it or not, the United States holds a major strategic advantage in influencing the situation in Libya. Aligned with Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, and Italy, they benefit from a network of allies who have already made significant economic investments in the country. These nations will not be ready to abandon their interests for another power, thus strengthening the American position as the dominant player in the region.
The Economic War Between Washington and Beijing as a Background
The economic rivalry between the United States and China plays a major role in American strategic decisions. Egypt's rapprochement with Beijing could complicate the relationship between Cairo and Washington, and by extension, affect indirect support for Haftar. If the United States perceives this alliance as a threat to its interests, it could reorient its policy in Libya, thus weakening the field marshal's position.
Saddam Haftar's Role in the Offensive
Saddam Haftar, son of Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, plays a key role in this dynamic. As Chief of Staff of the Land Forces, he is involved in military operations aimed at strengthening his father's hold on eastern Libya and advancing toward Tripoli. His rapid rise within Libya's military and political structures demonstrates Haftar's desire to prepare for his succession and ensure the continuity of his influence over the country.
An Uncertain Future for Haftar
While Libya remains marked by chronic instability, the balance of power could be disrupted by external geopolitical decisions. If Egyptian support for Haftar becomes a point of friction with Washington, it could compromise his ambitions for total control of the country.
How this dynamic evolves will depend on the strategic choices of the major powers and the ability of Haftar and his son Saddam to maintain their alliances without provoking excessive international opposition.
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